Vanderbilt football is at a crossroad.
Usually “crossroad” in sports means that there a lot of competing possibilities and one is about to win out.
For Vanderbilt, this crossroad is as big as it gets.
Long-suffering Vandy fans knew where their Commodores sat in the SEC’s pecking order for many decades. Because of the Diego Pavia era (and that’s what it was, as Clark Lea had been around for a while), those long-suffering Commodore fans are now asking if the turnaround of the last two years can be sustained even without Pavia on the team.
Conventional wisdom would suggest, no, it’s unlikely Vanderbilt can keep the last two years going. Pavia had a tremendous and outsized role in generating those outcomes and reversing the tide of history.
Then again, those two years did happen. Bringing Pavia in wasn’t the only good move Lea made. He probably learned some valuable lessons about building a program and winning when the winning was happening. Then there’s the downstream impact on culture and the possibility that could carry over with a new roster.
“Vanderbilt football has become something different. We’ve been learning what winning requires and what winning demands,” Lea said. “It’s been a remarkable journey and I’m incredibly grateful for anyone who’s had the courage to believe in our vision and walk beside us along the way.”
“Last season was not an arrival. It was simply another step in the climb,” Lea added.
Clark Lea’s talks are always well-prepared and formally delivered. In this week’s talk in Tampa he tried to thread a needle. Last season mattered, surely, but it’s no guarantee for the future. Last season created an opportunity for the program, but it’s up to this year’s team to answer its own set of questions and tackle its own challenges.
Truth be told, this is not the Vanderbilt before Pavia nor is it the Vanderbilt of Pavia. It’s the Vanderbilt that was impacted by Pavia. There’s a five-star starting freshman quarterback, Jared Curtis, to show for it. That doesn’t happen without the last two years.
But potentially starting a true freshman at quarterback, particularly at Vanderbilt in the SEC, does come with the potential for plenty of ups and downs.
Lea is optimistic that offensive coordinator Tim Beck can build an offense around his player’s strengths because he saw the tweaks and the success that followed in 2024 and 2025. He’s optimistic about the running backs and believes the offensive line brought in quality experience.
Defining success is something fans want coaches to do before the season. At Vanderbilt that’s a tricky assignment. It’s harder than ever because of the taste of success the last two seasons. But the confidence is finally there because it has been earned.
Many people are wondering if Vanderbilt football can keep it up without Diego Pavia. Clark Lea has to believe that. He outlined an approach focused on “incremental improvement” but recent history shows the right people can bring improvement quickly. Nobody is expecting big picture improvement from the best team in many decades but everyone is hoping the pre-Pavia history doesn’t have to be relevant anymore.