SerpApi.Org
One possible scenario could involve a group of drones bearing Ukrainian markings entering the airspace of Poland or another country on NATO’s eastern flank to create the impression that they had been launched by Ukraine’s Defense Forces, Polish officials said.
“We have already faced provocations involving drones, so we have seen what the Russian Federation is capable of,” Kosiniak-Kamysz said. “That is why our vigilance and awareness that such actions may occur are important.”
The Baltic states, Finland and Romania could also be at risk, he added.
The committee also discussed other forms of Russian hybrid threats, including GPS signal jamming, sabotage operations, cyberattacks and disinformation campaigns, Kosiniak-Kamysz said.
Threat of Russian provocations: What is known
The United States warned Warsaw that Moscow was preparing an armed provocation on Polish territory, The Telegraph reported on July 3, citing sources close to Polish President Karol Nawrocki.
The operation could be launched from Russia’s Kaliningrad exclave or Belarus and could involve missile or drone strikes or Russian troops directly crossing the Polish border, the newspaper reported.
Russian provocations could begin within several months, political analyst Petro Oleshchuk said on Radio NV on July 4, citing U.S. intelligence.
Poland, rather than the Baltic states, could become the main target of Russian hybrid aggression, Oleshchuk said. Poland is not fully prepared for such a scenario because it has been reluctant to learn from Ukraine’s experience, he added.
Russia is prepared to send so-called “little green men” into the Baltic states, Polish Foreign Intelligence Agency chief Col. Paweł Szota said on June 28.
Russian dictator Vladimir Putin has become a hostage to his own defeat, meaning Moscow could continue its war against Ukraine for several more years while simultaneously carrying out hybrid attacks against NATO’s eastern borders, Szota said.
Lithuania’s Defense Ministry offered a somewhat different assessment on June 29.
There were no objective signs that Russia was preparing a full-scale military attack against the Baltic states, the ministry said in comments cited by Lithuanian public broadcaster LRT.
Read also: Sikorski warns Russia may stage false-flag attack using Ukrainian drones
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Read the original article on The New Voice of Ukraine
Section: Russian war
Author: Дем'ян Шевко
