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Two of the WNBA’s best players will be on display when Nneka Ogwumike (17.3 points per game, 12th in league) and the Los Angeles Sparks (10-15) welcome in Kahleah Copper (20.5, seventh) and the Phoenix Mercury (9-18) on Wednesday, July 22, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Wednesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the matchup.
Pick the Mercury (+2.5) to Cover
・The Sparks have put together a 10-15-0 record against the spread this season.
・The Mercury have compiled an 11-16-0 record against the spread this year.
・The Sparks are 1-5 ATS when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
・In games they were an underdog in by 2.5 points or more so far this season, the Mercury went 7-8 against the spread.
Take the Under (178.5)
・The Sparks and their opponents have gone over 178.5 combined points in 16 of 25 games this season.
・The Mercury have combined with their opponents to score more than 178.5 points in eight of 27 games this season.
・These two teams rack up a combined 171.4 points per game, 7.1 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
・These teams allow 180.3 points per game combined, 1.8 more points than this matchup’s over/under.
・The Sparks have an average point total of 176.9 in their outings this year, 1.6 fewer points than this game’s over/under.
・Mercury games this season have had an average of 168.7 points, 9.8 fewer points than this game’s total.
Back the Sparks on the Moneyline (-136)
・The Sparks have gone 5-3 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 62.5% of those games).
・This season, the Mercury have been the underdog 16 times and won four, or 25%, of those games.
・When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -136 or shorter, the Sparks have a 3-3 record (winning 50% of their games).
・This season, the Mercury have won four of their 15 games, or 26.7%, when they’re the underdog by at least +110 on the moneyline.
・The Sparks have an implied moneyline win probability of 57.6% in this contest.
・The implied probability of a win by the Mercury based on the moneyline is 47.6%.
