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It's quite possible that all things turn to gold for Liam Coen, whose offenses have continued to surprise and evolve no matter what team he leads. As offensive coordinator at Kentucky, his 2021 and 2023 squads both topped their win totals. When Coen returned to the NFL in 2024, Coen helped orchestrate Baker Mayfield's career year while serving as OC for Tampa Bay (which won 10 games on a 7.5 line).
Cut to 2025, when the Coen-led the Jacksonville Jaguars capped off a 13-win season with an eight-game win streak prior to a nail-biting loss to the Bills in the playoffs. In fact, of the Jaguars' five losses last season, three of them featured blown leads in the final two minutes, while the other two came at the hands of the league's best teams in the Seahawks and Rams. Jacksonville's 12-5 ATS record was tied for the best in the NFL in 2025, but this season the Jags will likely be favored in the majority of their games. -- Kevin Pulsifer
Note: Odds by DK Sports and subject to change.
2026 outlook: Expectations high coming off 13-win season
The Jaguars enter 2026 with a higher floor than a year ago, but the betting market might be asking too much after a 13-win season. Trevor Lawrence finished 2025 playing the best football of his career, and another year in Coen's scheme should keep the offense competitive. The supporting cast is deep, with Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers and Travis Hunter giving Lawrence plenty of options, while Bhayshul Tuten and Chris Rodriguez Jr. should form a capable backfield.
The concern is whether last season's strengths are repeatable. The Jaguars went 6-3 in one-score games and finished second in the league with 31 takeaways, two statistical areas that tend to fluctuate from year to year. Jacksonville also faces a first-place schedule and lost several defensive contributors in free agency. -- Eric Moody
Best bet: Jaguars to make playoffs (+110)
The Jaguars have enough talent on both sides of the ball to stay in the AFC South race and the playoff hunt, but the current win total of 8.5 has some regression built in, considering Jacksonville's more difficult schedule coming off a 13-win season. Lawrence should keep the offense competitive, and a favorable second-half schedule gives the Jaguars a chance to recover if they struggle early. Jacksonville's best path is a wild card berth rather than a division title, which is why I prefer backing the Jaguars to make the playoffs rather than betting their win total. -- Moody
