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Warren Buffett says today's stock market is a casino: 'That's not investing, it's not speculating, it's gambling.'

Warren Buffett says today's stock market is a casino: 'That's not investing, it's not speculating, it's gambling.'
Warren Buffett says today's stock market is a casino: 'That's not investing, it's not speculating, it's gambling.'

Meanwhile, it's close to "as good as it gets," says Jamie Dimon.

Warren Buffett
Krista Kennell / Shutterstock.com

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Morgan Stanley collected a record $6.3 billion in equity-trading revenue during the second quarter of 2026, up 69% from a year earlier. Goldman Sachs reported $7.42 billion in equities revenue, a 72% increase. JPMorgan Chase’s equity-markets revenue rose 86% to $6 billion.

Warren Buffett and JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon are watching those conditions from opposite sides of the table. Buffett sees fewer investments worth buying. Dimon sees an environment so profitable for banks that it may have little room to improve.

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Wall Street gets paid when investors trade

Investment banks earn money from executing transactions, financing positions, making markets and helping companies sell shares. More activity creates more opportunities to collect revenue, regardless of whether individual traders ultimately make money.

Options, cryptocurrency and prediction markets have also made speculative bets easier to place. Rising stock prices add fuel. When recent trades have worked, investors often become willing to take risks they would have rejected a year earlier.

The amount of money in the market is growing, too. BlackRock’s assets under management reached a record $15.3 trillion after the company attracted $192 billion in second-quarter net inflows.

Buffett is finding fewer bargains

Buffett is finding fewer bargains, and that is the point. “It’s tough to find values when everybody is preferring gambling,” he said, referring to speculative trading in financial markets, in a CNBC interview.

He raised the same concern at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual meeting in May, describing the market as “a church with a casino attached.”

He went on to say, “I would say there are more people in the church and more people in the casino. But the casino has gotten very attractive to people … If you’re buying one-day options, or selling them, I mean, that is — that’s not investing, it’s not speculating, it’s gambling, you know, just totally.”

His concern is that speculation can overwhelm attention to what businesses are actually worth. Expensive markets do not make every stock a bad investment. They do leave investors with less protection if earnings disappoint or enthusiasm fades.

Jamie Dimon sees unusually favorable conditions

Dimon sees a market that is unusually profitable for banks, but he does not expect those conditions to last.

Asked about the current banking environment, he said, “It’s getting close to as good as it gets. We just don’t know how long it’s going to last,” according to the company’s earnings transcript.

He also described the market as healthy, active and exuberant, with high prices and heavy trading volumes. JPMorgan benefits from all of those conditions.

Dimon was not predicting an immediate downturn. He was acknowledging that unusually favorable environments do not continue forever.

What investors should do now

Buffett and Dimon are not telling investors to sell everything. The practical move is to check whether the rally has pushed your portfolio beyond the level of risk you intended.

If stocks were meant to make up 60% of your savings but now account for 70%, rebalancing can restore your original mix without requiring a market prediction.

Pay particular attention to options, leveraged funds and individual stocks that have grown into oversized positions. Money needed within the next several years should not depend on a speculative investment holding its value.

Buffett sees fewer bargains. Dimon sees unusually favorable conditions that may not last. You do not need to predict when the mood will change. You need a portfolio that can withstand it.

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