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6 overvalued fantasy football draft picks to avoid on Yahoo (2026)

FantasyPros · Jul 20, 2026 11:02 · 3 min read

6 Overvalued Fantasy Football Draft Picks to Avoid on Yahoo (2026)

The 2026 NFL regular season is quickly approaching, meaning now is the time to start preparing for redraft leagues. Many factors go into fantasy players winning their redraft league every year. However, the top factor is arguably avoiding players that ... read more »

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Overvalued Fantasy Football Players to Avoid on Yahoo

Let’s look at six players who are overpriced draft picks based on Yahoo ADP for redraft leagues.

Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 54.8 | QB6

Unfortunately, Hurts averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game last year, posting an average below 20.8 for the first time in his career as the full-time starter despite totaling a career-high 25 passing touchdowns. However, Hurts’ rushing production regressed, totaling single-digit rushing touchdowns for the first time since his rookie season. While the Eagles added several pass catchers this offseason, none of them will make up for the loss of A.J. Brown. Fantasy players can draft Caleb Williams nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.

Saquon Barkley (PHI) – ADP 14.9 | RB8

Many had concerns about Barkley last year after the superstar had 482 touches in 2024, including the playoffs. The former Penn State star averaged 14.5 PPR fantasy points per game last season, his lowest mark since 2021. Furthermore, he averaged 4.1 yards per rushing attempt and had 13 breakaway runs last year. By comparison, Barkley averaged 5.8 yards per rushing attempt and had 25 breakaway runs during his fantasy MVP season in 2024. After finishing last year as the RB14, fantasy players should avoid drafting Barkley as a mid-range RB1.

TreVeyon Henderson (NE) – ADP 53.6 | RB22

Fantasy players had high hopes for Henderson as a rookie. Unfortunately, he was unstartable for most of the year, finishing as the RB21. His 12.1 PPR fantasy points per game average was lower than Kenneth Gainwell‘s (13) and, more importantly, Rhamondre Stevenson‘s (12.8). Furthermore, Henderson averaged 11.3 touches and 9.5 fantasy points per game in the 14 regular-season contests with Stevenson healthy. By comparison, he averaged 19 touches and 24.3 fantasy points per game with the veteran injured. Neither Patriots running back should get drafted in the RB2 range.

Malik Nabers (NYG) – ADP 27.3 | WR10

Injuries are part of the game of football, and that’s why Nabers isn’t worth his current ADP. Last year, he averaged 10.7 targets and 17.7 PPR fantasy points per game in his three healthy contests. Unfortunately, Nabers suffered a torn ACL in Week 4. Furthermore, he underwent a second surgery to clean up his knee, putting his status for Week 1 in doubt. Nabers could miss the start of the year and might not be 100% until 2027, making him a massive risk to draft as a top-12 wide receiver.

Jameson Williams (DET) – ADP 61.9 | WR25

Last season, Williams quietly finished as the WR12, showing what a down year it was at the wide receiver position. His 12.9 PPR fantasy points per game average ranked 19th on a points-per-game basis, ranking behind Wan’Dale Robinson (13.6) and Christian Watson (13.2). Furthermore, Williams was hard to trust every week, scoring 6.6 or fewer fantasy points in 41.2% of the games, including zero twice. Fantasy players should avoid drafting the former Alabama star at his early sixth-round and WR25 ADP and target a pass catcher with less volatility.

Dalton Kincaid (BUF) – ADP 94.3 | TE10

Kincaid was one of my favorite sleeper tight ends last year. Unfortunately, he finished as the TE20, averaging 10.5 PPR fantasy points per game, missing five contests because of injury. While Kincaid set a career high with five receiving touchdowns, he never saw more than six targets in any game, hitting that mark in only three contests. More importantly, Kinciad no longer has a realistic shot at being first or second on his team in targets, which is necessary to justify his ADP, after the Bills traded for DJ Moore.