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2026 Emmy predictions: Limited supporting actor rankings and odds

David Harbour (DTF St. Louis)

Current odds: 79.57%
Network: HBO
IMDb: A darkly comedic tale of three middle-aged individuals entangled in a love triangle, leading to one's untimely demise.
Emmy history: 2 previous nominations, no wins.

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See the latest rankings for this year's nominees as Gold Derby users update their predictions for Best Movie/Limited Actress ahead of the 78th Creative Arts Emmys.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards will air Sept. 14 on NBC and Peacock, but Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor won't be among the categories handed out that night. The Television Academy recently moved it to the Creative Arts ceremony, where it will be presented on Sept. 6. So who's going to take it? Thousands of Gold Derby users have been making and updating their 2026 Emmy predictions for Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor, and we've rounded up all the top contenders in our photo gallery below.

How 'Beef' creator Lee Sung Jin found his voice and made a hit show

Current odds: 15.05%
Network: Netflix
IMDb: A young couple witnesses an alarming fight between their boss and his wife, which triggers chess moves of favors and coercion in the elitist world of a country club and its Korean billionaire owner.
Emmy history: No previous nominations.

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These Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor nominees are listed in order of their Gold Derby odds, which are derived from the combined forecasts of users, editors, and experts we've polled from major media outlets. Make your picks today to help shape our odds ahead of the 2026 Emmys.

Jason Bateman (DTF St. Louis)

Current odds: 2.15%
Network: HBO
IMDb: A darkly comedic tale of three middle-aged individuals entangled in a love triangle, leading to one's untimely demise.
Emmy history: 14 previous nominations, 1 win: Best Drama Directing for Ozark (2019)

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Ready for some fun facts about past Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor Emmy nominees and winners? Brian Dennehy has been nominated in this category a record four times, but never won. Beau Bridges is the only actor who has prevailed twice: The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleader-Murdering Mom in 1993 and The Second Civil War in 1997. Last year's winner was Owen Cooper for Adolescence.

Half Man premiere interviews: Richard Gadd, young cast members

Current odds: 2.15%
Network: Apple TV
IMDb: Ruben turns up at his estranged brother Niall's wedding, acting as a catalyst for a revival of the last 40 years of their relationship.
Emmy history: 3 previous nominations, 3 wins: Best Movie/Limited Actor, Best Movie/Limited Writing, and Best Movie/Limited Series for Baby Reindeer (2024).

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Here are the current odds and rankings for Best Movie/Limited Supporting Actor at the 2026 Emmys (updating weekly).

Death By Lightning

Current odds: 1.08%
Network: Netflix
IMDb: Dramatizes the stranger-than-fiction true story of 20th U.S. President James Garfield, and admirer Charles Guiteau, who assassinated him.
Emmy history: 4 previous nominations, 1 win: Best Drama Guest Actor for The Last of Us (2023).

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Richard Jenkins (DTF St. Louis)

Current odds: 0%
Network: HBO
IMDb: A darkly comedic tale of three middle-aged individuals entangled in a love triangle, leading to one's untimely demise.
Emmy history: 3 previous nominations, 1 win: Best Movie/Limited Actor for Olive Kitteridge (2015)

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