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Trump headed for midterm 'devastation' in humiliating new poll

The midterm elections could be devastating for Donald Trump, according to a new poll
The midterm elections could be devastating for Donald Trump, according to a new poll

President Donald Trump's war in Iran is now historically unpopular, according to a new poll

The midterm elections could be devastating for Donald Trump, according to a new poll
Lebanese President Joseph Aoun listens as he meets with President Donald Trump in the Oval Office at the White House, Tuesday, July 21, 2026, in Washington.

President Donald Trump could be gearing up for a devastating midterms, according to a humiliating new poll.

The president's net approval rating on the war in Iran went from -13 in March to -40, according to the Washington Post poll. "I believe this minus 40 points represents the least popular poll in terms of Trump’s net approval rating on the Iran war, the entire war so far," said CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten.

Enten added that the polling is a sign that Trump's war in Iran, which he began without authorization from Congress and cost U.S. households billions, is "historically unpopular."

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"That’s the phrase that I would use. The war was unpopular to start off with, and it’s become even less popular."

Enten's comments come after four U.S. service members were killed over the weekend in Jordan and Iran.

Iran launched retaliatory attacks on U.S. military bases in both countries after the temporary ceasefire fell through. Two of those killed in Jordan were Pvt. Isabella Gonzales of Carrollton, Texas, who was only 19; and First Lt. Tyler James Feehan of Ewa Beach, Hawaii, who was 25.

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1st Lt. Tyler James Feehan, 25, and Pvt. Isabella Gonzales, 19, were killed in Iranian strikes over the weekend
This combination of pictures created on July 21, 2026 shows undated handout photos from the US Army released on July 20, 2026, showing (L/R) 1st Lt. Tyler James Feehan, 25, of Ewa Beach, Hawaii, and Pvt. Isabella Gonzales, 19, of Carrollton, Texas.

A third fallen service member has yet to be publicly identified. Sgt. Michael Emmanuel Swinton, 30, of Fayetteville, North Carolina, died at Erbil Air Base in Iraq "during a controlled detonation" of a downed drone, said the Pentagon.

At least 18 U.S. service members have died since American and Israeli forces launched their joint campaign against Iran on Feb. 28. President Trump reacted to the deaths during an interview with NewsNation on Saturday.

"It’s a very sad thing. We hate to see it happen," Trump said, before pivoting to a stance he's stated repeatedly since the war began. "It’s in service to our country… we’re never, they’re never going to allow Iran to have a nuclear weapon."

Trump promised that Iran would pay
A man sits on a bench in a memorial, set for the school children who were killed during a strike on a primary school in southern town of Minab on Feb. 28, in northern Tehran, Iran.

Meanwhile, in a Truth Social post on Monday, Trump promised that Iran would pay "many times over" for each service member's death. But if the fighting continues, there could be more misery on the horizon for Americans in a war that has already led to a surge in energy prices after the Strait of Hormuz was closed.

Prices climbed again last week after U.S. Central Command reinstated a naval blockade of Iranian ports after the collapse of the already flimsy ceasefire. AAA data shows gasoline prices are inching toward $5 a gallon, raising fears that prolonged instability could drive costs even higher.

The White House continues to insist that the prices are temporary, but polling suggests that the majority of Americans don't think the war in Iran has been worth the cost. The poll showed that 68% of Americans say the conflict isn't worth fighting.

Trump's war in Iran is now more unpopular than the war in Iraq in 2006
President Donald Trump speaks in the Oval Office of the White House, Monday, July 13, 2026.

This surpasses the backlash of the Iraq war, when 58% said the war was not worth it in 2006. According to Enten, these numbers are "devastating" for the Republican Party ahead of the midterm elections in November, when the party is trying to defend its majorities in the House and Senate.

Enten believes history could repeat itself in November. "We remember what happened in 2006. Republicans lost both the House and the Senate," he said.

"This is a very, very bad number for the president. I think a lot of Republicans in Congress don’t like this number, one iota. Just a devastating number for Republicans."

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