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MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Mets bats are waking up

MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Mets bats are waking up
MLB betting tips for Wednesday: Mets bats are waking up

All of the odds, recommended prop bets and trends in baseball for Wednesday, July 22.

All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I've created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.

Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.

Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz

Wednesday's top batter prop bets

Mookie Betts | OVER 0.5 HR (+660)

Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $32.39 EV

Christian Encarnacion-Strand | OVER 0.5 HR (+770)

Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.45 EV

Bo Bichette | OVER 0.5 RBI (+262)

Projection: 33% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.06 EV

Seiya Suzuki | OVER 0.5 RBI (+221)

Projection: 38% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.76 EV

Francisco Alvarez | OVER 0.5 H+R+RBI (-122)

Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.57 EV

Wednesday's top pitcher prop bets

Eric Lauer | UNDER 3.5 K (-112)

Projection: 63% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.50 EV

Logan Henderson | UNDER 5.5 K (+107)

Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.45 EV

Gage Jump | UNDER 4.5 K (-124)

Projection: 65% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.61 EV

Keider Montero | UNDER 3.5 K (-105)

Projection: 59% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.61 EV

Seth Lugo | OVER 4.5 K (-112)

Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.11 EV

THE BAT X: Team Projections

Top betting trends

Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today's action. 

Boston Red Sox Moneyline:

The Red Sox are seeking to extend their 14-game winning streak. (+14.40 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: -144

Texas Rangers Game Total OVER:

Games involving the Rangers have gone over this total in 12 straight contests. (+12.00 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 8.5 @ -120

Athletics 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:

The Athletics have gone under this total in 10 consecutive road games. (+10.10 Units / 75% ROI). Current odds: 2.5 @ -140

Toronto Blue Jays Team Total UNDER:

Toronto has been under this total is six straight games. (+6.15 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -145

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