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The New York Liberty (14-12) welcome in the Chicago Sky (9-17) after Breanna Stewart put up 33 points in the Liberty’s 99-98 victory over the Wings. The game is at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can place on Wednesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.
Pick the Sky (+8.5) to Cover
・The Liberty have covered the spread in a matchup 10 times this season (10-16-0).
・The Sky are 14-12-0 against the spread this season.
・The Liberty have an ATS record of 4-6 when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
・The Sky are a perfect 6-0 ATS when playing as at least 8.5-point underdogs.
Take the Under (179.5)
・In 12 games this season, the Liberty and their opponents have scored more than 179.5 combined points.
・Sky games this season have had a combined scoring total higher than 179.5 points in 13 of 26 outings.
・These teams average 175.6 points per game combined, 3.9 less than this game’s total.
・These teams give up a combined 175.4 points per game, 4.1 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
・The Liberty have had an average of 172.0 points in their games this season, 7.5 fewer than this matchup’s total.
・Sky contests this season have a 171.7-point average over/under, 7.8 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Back the Liberty on the Moneyline (-394)
・The Liberty have won 11 of the 21 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (52.4%).
・The Sky have been underdogs in 17 games this season and won three (17.6%) of those contests.
・When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -394 or shorter, the Liberty have a record of 5-3 (62.5%).
・The Sky have been at least a +299 moneyline underdog six times this season, but was upset in each of those games.
・The Liberty have an implied moneyline win probability of 79.8% in this contest.
・The implied probability of a win by the Sky based on the moneyline is 25.1%.
