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The Indiana Fever (16-10) welcome in the Connecticut Sun (7-19) after Kelsey Mitchell went off for 33 points in the Fever’s 108-88 victory over the Liberty. The game is at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, July 22, 2026.
Dive into the best bets available (according to our computer predictions) in Wednesday’s game, before you make an informed wager on the contest.
Pick the Fever (-10.5) to Cover
・The Fever have covered the spread 12 times this season (12-14-0).
・The Sun have covered the spread 14 times over 26 games with a set spread.
・The Fever are winless against the spread when they have played as 10.5-point favorites or more (0-2).
・In games this season when an underdog by 10.5 points or more, the Sun are 3-3 against the spread.
Take the Under (178.5)
・Fever games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 178.5 points 14 times.
・The Sun have played six games this season that finished with a combined score over 178.5 points.
・These two teams are scoring 174.1 points per game between them, 4.4 fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
・These teams allow a combined 175.4 points per game, 3.1 fewer points than this matchup’s total.
・The average total in Fever games this season is 175.6, 2.9 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under.
・Sun games this season have had an average of 165.9 points, 12.6 fewer points than this game’s point total.
Back the Fever on the Moneyline (-498)
・The Fever have won 66.7% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (12-6).
・This season, the Sun have won seven out of the 24 games, or 29.2%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
・The Fever have played as a moneyline favorite of -498 or shorter in only two games this season, which they split 1-1.
・The Sun have a record of 1-6 when they’re set as an underdog of +360 or more by sportsbooks this season.
・Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Fever have an implied win probability of 83.3%.
・The moneyline for this contest implies a 21.7% chance of a victory for the Sun.
