Key Points
Archer and Anduril unveiled Thunder, an autonomous hybrid-electric VTOL.
The new platform could help Archer generate meaningful revenue before its civilian air taxi service begins.
The Archer-Anduril platform strengthens Archer's story, yet a certified Midnight remains central to its long-term success.
If you thought Archer Aviation (NYSE:ACHR) was only building flying taxis, you might want to think again.
On July 20, Archer and defense company Anduril unveiled an autonomous VTOL aircraft platform, with a defense variant, “Thunder", also introduced. Since late 2024, both companies have been jointly developing technology for the vertical takeoff and landing (VTOL) sector. While “Thunder” is a defense variant, Archer says it will announce the platform’s first commercial customers later this week.
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The importance of this platform for Archer cannot be overstated. The company is not generating meaningful revenue, and Midnight, its flagship electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, still lacks FAA type certification. If, however, it can turn the Anduril platform into firm orders, it could create a path to meaningful revenue while Midnight continues working through the certification process.
Archer stock jumped roughly 20% on the news, which puts it roughly 30% lower on the year. If you’ve been waiting for a reason to buy this beaten-down aviation stock, let’s take a closer look to see if now is the time to jump in.
Image source: Archer Aviation.
A new path to revenue, but no firm orders yet
Archer Aviation, in a nutshell, is a frontrunner in the nascent eVTOL and urban mobility space. Its flagship aircraft, Midnight, is being engineered for short-distance urban air travel. In practice, this eVTOL could transform city commutes by replacing hour-long slogs through congested streets with a relatively peaceful 10-minute ride in a quiet electric aircraft.
As mentioned above, Midnight is not FAA-certified. That said, Archer has been moving steadily through the FAA’s rigorous regulatory process. In April, it became the first eVTOL company to close out Phase 3 of the FAA’s four-phase process. Archer is now working through the final phase, during which it will conduct formal testing and show that Midnight is airworthy for passengers.
Progress is encouraging, but it’s not money. And, right now, money is firmly top of mind for Archer investors. The company has strong liquidity -- about $1.8 billion available -- but cash burn has become hard to ignore. Quarterly, it’s ripping through about $180 million. That gives it a runway of about two and a half years, assuming that burn rate stays the same.
This is where the Archer-Anduril platform could be useful. Unlike the fully electric Midnight, the new aircraft uses a hybrid-electric powertrain, which means it can theoretically stay airborne longer and carry heavier loads. That could easily broaden Archer’s opportunities beyond short urban hops into other, more urgent markets, like defense and cargo. More importantly, Thunder (and other military variants) could reach deployment faster than Midnight, as military aircraft do not have to undergo the same FAA certification process as civilian passenger aircraft.
That, as CEO Adam Goldstein said, is the “beauty of the defense market.” Whether or not it translates into firm sales is yet to be seen. But the opportunity is encouraging, as it gives Archer a potential path to revenue while Midnight works through the regulatory process.
Does this make Archer a buy?
The Ancher-Anduril platform could help offset some of the eVTOL company’s near-term spending. But it does not fundamentally change the company’s long-term trajectory. Archer still needs to certify Midnight and build a viable air taxi service if it wants to grow into a profitable business.
For now, Archer remains a high-risk, high-reward stock best suited to investors who can tolerate volatility and uncertainty.
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Steven Porrello has positions in Archer Aviation. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.